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« Obama Keeps Hitting McCain As Flip-Flopper On The Economy | Main | Jim Crow -- The Remix »

September 18, 2008

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IT’S NOT ROCKET SCIENCE!
(Avoiding the Next Credit Crisis Resulting from Financial Product Abuse)

It’s not “Rocket Science:” There is nothing complicated about addressing exactly why financial markets/institutions are: 1. in the mess they are today; 2. How all this could have been avoided, ENTIRELY; And 3. How to prevent it EVER happening again:

Going forward, that answer is quite simple and allow me to pass it along, as follows:

• The Federal Reserve must require an advance review of all new exotic investment products being offered or traded, including mortgage derivatives and fixed-income instruments, by commercial and investment bankers;

• The Fed must demand that firms proposing to offer or trade in such products set forth a "worst case" scenario including exactly how they would resolve it;

• The Fed must do its own "worst case" review and put forth its own approach to dealing with any such worst case scenario; and

• Not trusting Wall Street's self interested thinking on the level of risk involved (with any such new product) or for dealing with any worst case scenario, the Fed could have imposed new rules applicable to offering or trading in such products;

• i.e., the Fed could have REQUIRED higher margin (financial reserve) requirements for any firm proposing to offer or trade in such products;

• Facing the prospect of higher margin/reserve requirements most firms would have passed on both derivatives and sub prime lending vehicles (i.e., the dumb and reckless ideas would never have left the drawing board);

• For those firms still willing to brave the water with such products the Fed could have monitored those new reserve requirements on an ACTIVE basis; and

• When and if the worst case scenario ever presented itself, the firms would have had a stockpile of cash reserves sufficient to bail themselves out, and without needing to have the Fed (taxpayers) step in as is happening today.

• Finally, in either worst case scenario presenting itself, the shareholders of these firms and not taxpayers would pay the price for that failure in judgment on part of the firms having decided to engage in the offering or trading in such products.


It's just that simple: not rocket science. And the Fed has deployed this approach before in the case of the Leverage Buy Out and Junk Bond craze.

In fact, when the "LBO' craze was all the rage (Drexel Burnham, Milken, Ivan Boesky, T. Boone Pickens, etc.), the Fed, in order to cool its jets, did exactly that…

That is, the Fed (under Chairman Paul Volker [sp]) simply increased the margin requirements for LBOs using Junk Bonds and the craze died a natural death WITHOUT any significant disruption in the capital markets.

By the way, a “Rocket Scientist” (in Wall Street parlance) is a new investment/financial product engineer. These guys came up with the “cash management account;” the “donor-advised fund;” the “mutual fund;” and the “Charitable Bond Trust;” and other great ideas.


L. Napoleon Cooper
“Rocket Scientist”
Washington, DC

you can always count on a lower subprimate to exploit the black racist sympathies

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